My Oscar predictions

Best Picture - The Social Network should win and I hope it does ('The King’s Speech' is a C+ movie and was the most overrated movie of 2010).
Best Director - David Fincher (The Social Network). Note that I was considering Darren Aronofsky (Black Swan) but I think Fincher did a great job of basically turning boring witness depositions into a great movie.
Best Actor - Colin Firth ('The King’s Speech'). I was not impressed by the movie or by his acting - and I must say that while I was watching the movie I couldn't stop thinking of "Tropic Thunder" and the half retard vs. full retard conversation (in this case half stutter). The category this year is mediocre.
Best Actress - Natalie Portman (Black Swan).
Best Supporting Actor - Christian Bale (The Fighter) is without a doubt one of the best contemporary actors. This Oscar will be well deserved and honestly the role is more than a supporting role.
Best Supporting Actress - Melissa Leo (The Fighter).

If I get a moment before 8:30PM I will predict other categories (Toy Story 3 will win at least one Oscar).